Election 2011: poll points to liberal 'king-maker' after 9 October
PR dla Zagranicy
A new poll suggests that Civic Platform would still be the largest party in parliament after the 9 October elections in Poland but that a small, new liberal party could be kind maker in a coalition government.
The poll also finds the gap between the two leading parties is narrowing, as reflected by several surveys over the last fortnight.
According to the survey by Millward Brown SMG/KRC, the centre-right Civic Platform would take 34 percent of the vote, winning 199 seats, while Law and Justice, the more socially conservative rival, would win 163 seats, with 29 percent of the vote.
A fortnight ago, on 17 September, a poll by the Homo Homini Institute suggested that Law and Justice would take just 25.7 percent of the vote, as against 35.4 percent for the Civic Platform.
Meanwhile, wild card anti-clerical party, the Palikot Movement continues to rise in popularity, with respondents suggesting that the liberal party, formed by breakaway Civic Platform MP Janusz Palikot, would take some 6 percent of the vote and gain 36 seats in the lower house (Sejm).
Just a fortnight ago, pollsters indicated that he would take just 2.7 percent of the vote, well below the 5 percent needed to win seats in the Sejm.
Th puts Palikot ahead of current junior coalition partner the Polish Peasants' Party, which would get 20 seats with 6 percent of the vote.
Another diminishing force is the Democratic Left Alliance, which the MillwardBrown poll puts at 41 seats (8 percent), down from 13.1 percent on 17 September.
Poland Comes First, which broke away from Law and Justice last year, would not win a seat according to the latest poll, a status that is unchanged from a fortnight ago.
The MillwardBrown poll was conducted by telephone on 28 September, surveying 1000 adults. (nh/pg)